I go with BOM and hope for the best,, 2011 we got stuck way up in the richmond range a few days before all that terrible flooding killed all those people in granthom there was massive amounts of localised rain falling up there and water coming down BEFORE the big weather system swept in yet there was no record on any of the stations around .Had to mark the creeks and hope the next one had gone down the skidders and trucks high tailing out from forestry had destroyed the roads so only one way out and no one else stoopid enough to be up there .
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