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Old 08-08-2011, 10:48 PM
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strongmanmike (Michael)
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Science under attack

Saw this advertised for Tomorrow night 8.30pm (Tues 9 Aug) on SBS TV and thought it might be of interest to some IIS'ers

"Science under attack"

Nobel Prize winner Sir Paul Nurse examines why science appears to be under attack, and why public trust in key scientific theories has been eroded - from the theory that man-made climate change is warming our planet, to the safety of GM food, or that HIV causes AIDS. He interviews scientists and campaigners from both sides of the climate change debate, and travels to New York to meet Tony, who has HIV but doesn't believe that that the virus is responsible for AIDS. (From the UK) (Documentary) G CC
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Old 09-08-2011, 12:01 AM
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supernova1965 (Warren)
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I will be watching this Mike and just quietly science is under attack in a big way every where you look including here on this forum which is sad as our hobby is science based and it isnt being done justice in my opinion.

I would have thought on an astronomy forum science would rule instead we are having arguments on ideology and beliefs instead of facts. Its time to let the facts speak up.
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Old 09-08-2011, 12:33 AM
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renormalised (Carl)
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Originally Posted by supernova1965 View Post
....I would have thought on an astronomy forum science would rule instead we are having arguments on ideology and beliefs instead of facts. Its time to let the facts speak up.
When did anyone ever let the facts get in the way of the truth??

One man's facts are another man's fallacies.

Facts only become truths when everyone can see their inevitability.

Science has come under attack because it has failed to offer the average person any comfort in inevitability. However, it has also been horribly misrepresented by those people who have a vested interest in it....the scientists. We are not paragons of all knowledge, nor are we custodians of the arcane. We are not high priests either, but to see how many scientists react to criticism and the way they conduct themselves, you'd think otherwise. Although, the people have to carry the can as well. They are just as guilty of expecting too much from scientists and putting them into the positions of "high priests". Science has become a religion in many respects, which is something it was never meant to be. When a religion fails to sate the concerns of the average person, it becomes abandoned or ignored. That's what's happening to science. It's been put in a position it should never have, nor has any business to have, occupied.
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Old 09-08-2011, 03:17 AM
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Waxing_Gibbous (Peter)
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I believe this attitude stems from many decades ago when "scientists" assured us that smoking was OK, that DDT was OK, CFCs were safe and numerous other instances of products, materials, chemicals etc, that were patently NOT safe, being passed by the 'boffins'.
Then the opposite happened - EVERYTHING was bad, from the perfectly benign preservatives in your tinned spaghetti to, of all things EGGS!
Eggs for god sake!
I've never heard of anyone dying from eating an egg.

My faith in 'Science' has been very much eroded by having worked in the scientific community!
Jealousies and rivalries are rife. Results are regularly skewed if not out-right fabricated and replicable experimental outcomes have been replaced by "estimates" and "models" that have dubious predictive value and are based on specious reasoning and logical fallacies, Unfortunately, these are touted as substantive and inarguable, particularly if they reflect public prejudice.

While my degree is in economics, a fair amount of that 'dismal science' is statistical analysis and I know 'good' stats from 'bad'.
Much of the analysis and modelling coming from universities and institutes (government and non) is so badly flawed from the word 'go' that it is effectively useless.
Yet, as it panders to political and popular prejudices it is given the legitimacy of numbers - the more people that say its true, the truer it must be!
The climate-change industry is particularly bad for this. A chap on the radio the other day avowed that if 99 scientists agreed on an issue and one disagreed, he could legitimately thought insane!!
Lister? Gallileo?

Another cause for deteriorating faith in science is that so defensive are scientists of their theories and careers, that even in the face of contrary evidence (string theory?!) they would rather deny the truth themselves than admit to error.
The strident posturing visible in almost all scientific disciplines filters out to the great unread through a facile media who's sole function is to retain viewers.
The more disastrous the prediction - the more highly its defended -the better the story.

There will, alas, always be villagers with pitchforks who, despite all hard evidence, will reject anything that challenges their prejudices.
I suspect that this is the faction on which the program will focus.
But there is, I think, a larger body of people who have, with justification, been questioning the validity of much scientific research and the motives of the people who carry it out.

Aren't we all supposed to have fried to crisp by now because of the hole in the ozone layer?
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Old 09-08-2011, 06:57 AM
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I believe that if results are skewed it is because of ideology it might not be the ideology of the scientist's themselves but it is their greed in accepting payment from people who bribe scientist's to get the result that best suits them that is what is wrong with science not science itself.

About being fried to a crisp due to the hole in the ozone layer governments around the world listened to the scientists and did something reducing the CFC's that caused the hole and it was closed disaster averted why can't we put the same faith in the science to deal with the current climate problems I will say it is ideology getting in the way of doing what is in our best interests.

Last edited by supernova1965; 09-08-2011 at 08:26 AM.
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Old 09-08-2011, 09:54 AM
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I can agree with alot of what is said here , but this is not just happening in science it's the norm to put the benifit of one self before the benifit of others which has the potential to lead to corruption & the break down of trust in society.
Trust has been eroded to the point that there is fierce debate for virtually everything in our world that is pushed by people with an agenda to see thing go in there favour.
The big problem as i see it is if science & the trust in science is eroded to the point where it's somewhat ignored due to the continual debate of its validity by people with their own agenda's , then we as a planet are in trouble as we will need science for our long term survival as we come across some massive problems, like global warming, safe energy production , & the big one that people don't seem to talk about OVER POPULATION & FAMINE .
we need to promote integrity & honesty & teach it to our children
phil
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Old 09-08-2011, 10:00 AM
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All good discussion... but it may be more useful and on-topic after the SBS show..?
Mike
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Old 09-08-2011, 10:50 AM
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Hi Mike,

One of the basic needs of humans is to satisfy the question "Why is it so?"
Depending on the quantity of knowledge a person has will be a factor in determining the complexity of the explanation that they require.

Astronomers and people involved in sciences often have an enquiring mind. It leads to aquiring a wealth of knowledge. If the question was raised, "why does the moon not fly away into space?" To many people the explanation that it is gravity that holds the moon in orbit is usually sufficient.
To others, we may ask "What the heck is this gravity thing?" And the questions continue.

JJJ made a good point. "Interferes with TV viewing". Their level of understanding requires only small explanations to satisfy their valency for knowledge. They are then released to pursue mind numbing interests.

"Ignorance is bliss"

We reach now to my point. People have varying degrees of knowledge. The kind of decision or opinion that a person makes heavily relies on the information they have on hand in the grey matter.

I have observed that most people do not have a wealth of knowledge to make well informed opinions or decisions.

Its all too easy to fob off an issue if it disagrees with them or more importantly that they don't understand it.
Hence some become critical of the scientists. They ridicule them with the arguement that they do not know what they are doing. What complicates the issue is the alarmist strategies the media employs to gain an audience. Also the media adjusts information to be directed to the couch potatoes. Little fact content and loads of incredulism attracts an audience.

Never argue with a fool. He will degrade the discussion down to his level and beat you with experience.

Cheers
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Old 09-08-2011, 11:55 AM
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Science has always been, and hopefully always will be, under 'attack'. Surely that's the way it should be?

Ignoring internecine squabbling for the moment, every hypothesis, theory and discovery should be put under the microscope of peer review and analysed to the point of destruction if necessary. All experimental results need to be replicated and all observations verified.

To the best of my knowledge Science has always said something along the lines of "We are always open to correction". To any scientist who sits, like a shag on a rock, flapping around a favourite subject I would suggest the spreading of the dried wings and going out to prove that your little pet is real and deserves consideration.

I was going to go on about scientists being their own worst enemy when it comes to media coverage; but I won't.
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Old 09-08-2011, 12:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dujon View Post
Science has always been, and hopefully always will be, under 'attack'. Surely that's the way it should be?

Ignoring internecine squabbling for the moment, every hypothesis, theory and discovery should be put under the microscope of peer review and analysed to the point of destruction if necessary. All experimental results need to be replicated and all observations verified.

To the best of my knowledge Science has always said something along the lines of "We are always open to correction". To any scientist who sits, like a shag on a rock, flapping around a favourite subject I would suggest the spreading of the dried wings and going out to prove that your little pet is real and deserves consideration.

I was going to go on about scientists being their own worst enemy when it comes to media coverage; but I won't.
I agree except to say science is under attack by people who only want to defeat the other side they are not interested in whether it is true or not they only want to do anything to benifit themselves short term. I am all for peer review but this attack is not coming from scientists it is coming from political agenda's. And I am not surprised that scientists don't handle the media well most scientists don't have a lot of time for dealing with people it is not what they are good at they are good at science.
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Old 09-08-2011, 12:09 PM
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The trouble with "science" these days is not the true science of discovery, testing and proving.

It is that all the current scientific theories are based on statistics put forward to support an argument for or against someone's personal agenda.

Anyone that has dealt with statistics will know that by being selective you can "prove" anything you like. If they were as reliable as proponents say then "bookies" would be out of business.

Barry
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Old 09-08-2011, 12:38 PM
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Where is Hober Mallow when you need him.?????

Andrew
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Old 09-08-2011, 01:00 PM
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Luckily the children's show Sesame Street is going to start having more emphasis on math and science so we will all be saved!
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Old 09-08-2011, 03:10 PM
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Old 09-08-2011, 04:17 PM
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Arrogance and hypocracy if perceived cause folk to lose faith.
Reality is only a perception humans manufacture and their perception can be flawed or manipulated...

If science is having a problem I suggest it is vested interests who are responsible for the manipulation of the publics perception.

One particular scientific debate having spilled over into politics means that scientists become mere pawns in a much bigger game...

The politics leave scientists in a most difficult position...

Their evidence and reports are presented by politicians with an arrogance of infalibility which I doubt any true scientist would claim...those against react to the arrogance of the presentation which appears as a rejection of the science in total...

Then the hypocracy... politicians see problems as opportunity for votes rather than actually providing a fix... the hypocracy (on both sides)surrounding the management of the percieved climate problem by politics is clear... but finally it all comes back to the poor scientist who simply did his job ..researched etc... so incorrectly the science is seen as hypocritical rather than the politics.

On the positive real science can take examination and review ..emotion is irrelevent ..

AND why is this show on anyways... one side or the other has caused it to be so... we will come away with a perception of reality created by the producers of this show... it will be interesting to see if they are grinding anyones axe in particular...

Will it change minds..I doubt it..each side will select the parts suitable to their current stand.

alex
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Old 09-08-2011, 05:34 PM
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We live in an age where it appears that having an opinion is more important than having an informed view. Empowering information technologies, where everyone is on equal footing such as the internet, (and messaging boards), offer a breeding ground for strengthening one’s preconceived opinions, (and resolve), which are usually rooted in philosophical beliefs from the past.

As a species, I feel we are approaching a phase of awakening when it comes to the reality about the tools of science. The last generation looked to science as a way of reinforcing the need for stability, coming from a deterministic world view. Everything in the universe, as reported by science, was no more than a chain of events following one after another according to the ‘law’ of cause and effect. Our education system also reinforces this view.

The ‘awakening phase’ has burst this bubble .. there is anger and disbelief. Trust has somehow been broken .. with the root cause being misperceptions about what science can, and cannot, achieve.

I see it everywhere, and I hope this aspect is examined in this doco.

Thanks for the heads-up, Mike .. Looks very interesting.

Cheers
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Old 09-08-2011, 08:22 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Waxing_Gibbous View Post
Aren't we all supposed to have fried to crisp by now because of the hole in the ozone layer?
Oh come on really ? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montreal_Protocol
The war on science is led by the far left and the far right, and their foot soldiers are the ingnorant. What makes your comments even sader is your an economist.
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Old 09-08-2011, 09:57 PM
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Good show

So we have to add The Royal Society and NASA to the conspiracy now.

Their full report summary on the evidence for Human induced climate change, concludes:

"There is strong evidence that changes in greenhouse gas concentrations due to human
activity are the dominant cause of the global warming that has taken place over the last
half century. This warming trend is expected to continue as are changes in precipitation
over the long term in many regions. Further and more rapid increases in sea level are
likely which will have profound implications for coastal communities and ecosystems"


and finally viva Gillard!

"Like many important decisions, policy choices about climate change have to be made in
the absence of perfect knowledge. Even if the remaining uncertainties were
substantially resolved, the wide variety of interests, cultures and beliefs in society would
make consensus about such choices difficult to achieve. However, the potential impacts
of climate change are sufficiently serious that important decisions will need to be made.

Climate science – including the substantial body of knowledge that is already well
established, and the results of future research – is the essential basis for future climate
projections and planning, and must be a vital component of public reasoning in this
complex and challenging area."


I mean fair shake of the sauce bottle guys this is the society of Newton, Darwin, Herschel and Stephen Hawking - how much more convincing do you need?

Come'on Bolt, Jones and Abbott et al tell us more about your weightless, colourless, oderless and tasteless gas....

Will you just READ the above summary for F'sake! it isn't that long

If it wasn't so sad I'd laugh

Last edited by strongmanmike; 09-08-2011 at 11:39 PM.
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Old 09-08-2011, 10:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Waxing_Gibbous View Post
The more disastrous the prediction - the more highly its defended -the better the story.
Cue the 2012 end of the world believers...
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Old 10-08-2011, 01:24 AM
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It is very clear that anyone still doubting the science and consensus on climate change and our significant hand in it is just being obstinate and unyielding for the sake of..?..well I dunno

Or perhaps they don't have the intellect and powers of scientific reasoning they thought they had...?
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