Go Back   IceInSpace > General Astronomy > General Chat

Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
  #1  
Old 13-03-2020, 01:38 AM
Exfso's Avatar
Exfso (Peter)
Registered User

Exfso is offline
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Adelaide
Posts: 1,699
If you want to track the beast

This might scare the pants off most I reckon.
The site:
https://www.groovypost.com/howto/tra...campaign=daily


and link:

https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashb...23467b48e9ecf6
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 13-03-2020, 01:58 AM
Ukastronomer (Jeremy)
Feel free to edit my imag

Ukastronomer is offline
 
Join Date: Jan 2019
Location: Llandysul, WALES, UK
Posts: 1,381
No
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 13-03-2020, 07:29 AM
xelasnave's Avatar
xelasnave
Gravity does not Suck

xelasnave is offline
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Tabulam
Posts: 17,003
Quote:
Originally Posted by Exfso View Post
Thank you Peter.
Alex
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 13-03-2020, 12:37 PM
FlashDrive's Avatar
FlashDrive (Poppy)
Senior Citizen

FlashDrive is offline
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Bribie Island
Posts: 5,068
Wow ....!!
Attached Thumbnails
Click for full-size image (Screenshot_2020-03-13 Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV).jpg)
135.4 KB41 views
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 13-03-2020, 04:38 PM
OICURMT's Avatar
OICURMT
Oh, I See You Are Empty!

OICURMT is offline
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Location: Laramie, WY - United States of America
Posts: 1,555
Some positive spin???

Quote:
Originally Posted by Exfso View Post

Took the underlying data from this on Mar 10th and plotted it up (all the data is available on GitHub).



The Mainland China data is significant in that the government basically forced social distancing. Based on the Chinese reaction to the virus, it fits a logistic function pretty well with a=100 and b=.0.25 (in case you want to confirm my calculation).
Assuming… China = 1.386 billion, world total is 7.53 billion, we should expect to level out at 438,745 cases globally… *IF* the rest of the world does what China and Italy have done (i.e. sequester the population).

Assuming a 3.5% mortality, I’d expect 15356 deaths.
Attached Thumbnails
Click for full-size image (COVID-19 Historical Fit - Mainland China.png)
26.4 KB20 views
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks

Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT +10. The time is now 03:35 AM.

Powered by vBulletin Version 3.8.7 | Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Advertisement
Bintel
Advertisement