Hi Narayan,
With some long range forecasts predicting sunshine for the 7th and 8th and the
BOM prediction for the 6th at present as "a few showers, partly cloudy", it will
be interesting to watch how things pan out over the next few days with regards
updated predictions.
This month has been a record dry, so hopefully the trend will statistically
continue for a bit longer.
On May 20th, there were scattered showers in Sydney. Where I had been in
the north and then in the west and been perfectly clear so I was surprised when I
heard first-hand accounts from others who had experienced showers at locations such as Bankstown.
So the scenario of "partly cloudy and scattered showers" may not necessarily be universal
disaster for Sydney-based transit observers.
You have to hand it to them though. It is amazing how the sophistication of the
models, the number of data points in the solution mesh and the speed of the
supercomputers have increased so much in the past decades that they could
even hazard a guess as to what the weather might be like a week from now.
Their guess is certainly likely to be better than mine.
For the seriously keen I always like to remind people that when it comes to events such as this,
that the interior of the continent of Australia is not dry desert by accident.
When in doubt, head west young man.
Years ago we put that in practice to view the Leonids, kept driving west until there were
no more clouds and found ourselves in a field outside of Nyngan. It paid off with
a wonderful clear view of this awesome spectacle whereas back toward the coast
it was overcast and the stay-at-homes missed the whole light show.
