So there have wind tunnel tested this thing - and think it might survive - but not idea of how to track it - or if the astronaut involved will get detention or a fine for littering!
Remember that line - but Russian's used a pencil - apparently this was significantly dangerous at the time - pencils leave graphite dust which provides a combustible surface catalyst in high oxygen environments. So it inverts the thinking that just maybe NASA really did get this right whilst the Russians lucked in.