ICEINSPACE
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Moon Phase
CURRENT MOON
Waning Crescent 8.2%
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09-01-2007, 07:49 AM
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Spam Hunter
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Oberon NSW
Posts: 14,438
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Lostock Jan 2007 Weather Forecasts
This is from AccuWeather this morning,
Al.
Intervals of clouds and sun
Low: 16 °C
High: 26 °C
Wednesday, Jan 17
More Details
Partly sunny
Low: 17 °C
High: 27 °C
Thursday, Jan 18
More Details
Mostly sunny
Low: 17 °C
High: 28 °C
Friday, Jan 19
More Details
Mostly sunny
Low: 18 °C
High: 28 °C
Saturday, Jan 20
More Details
Sunny
Low: 19 °C
High: 30 °C
Sunday, Jan 21
More Details
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09-01-2007, 07:54 AM
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Sir Post a Lot!
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Gosford, NSW, Australia
Posts: 36,799
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Wow, looking good so far Al! I hope it stays that way!
27-28° is better than the 30+ we had last year  But i'd be happy with hot days if it meant clear nights like last year
I wasn't going to look at the long range forecasts, just incase the news was bad.. but I just had to look at your thread 
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09-01-2007, 04:47 PM
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Spam Hunter
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Oberon NSW
Posts: 14,438
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Fingers crossed.
Al.
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09-01-2007, 05:29 PM
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Obsessed
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Swansea N.S.W.
Posts: 1,107
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iceman
27-28° is better than the 30+ we had last year |
Imagine 100+ people in the swimming hole this year!
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09-01-2007, 05:41 PM
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sausagemaker to the stars
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Dinmore, Queensland
Posts: 562
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Al,
Is that forecast for Lostock itself.
I checked the weather channel, and didn't get weather that good.
Mike.
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09-01-2007, 07:17 PM
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Spam Hunter
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Oberon NSW
Posts: 14,438
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sausageman
Al,
Is that forecast for Lostock itself.
I checked the weather channel, and didn't get weather that good.
Mike.
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Well, I went to Accuweather and entered "Lostock, Australia" and it came up with Lostock, Australia on the screen... unless there's another one!!! 
Al.
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10-01-2007, 09:45 AM
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The Glenfallus
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Central Coast, NSW
Posts: 2,702
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An old friend of mine is a meteorologist, his attitude is that even with the very best modelling programs in the world, any weather forecast more than about 48 hours in advance is not much better than an educated guess.....and a forecast 7 days out is only a very rough guesstimate at best.
Still, good to see at this stage the modelling is on our side!
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10-01-2007, 12:42 PM
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Spam Hunter
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Oberon NSW
Posts: 14,438
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rodstar
An old friend of mine is a meteorologist, his attitude is that even with the very best modelling programs in the world, any weather forecast more than about 48 hours in advance is not much better than an educated guess.....and a forecast 7 days out is only a very rough guesstimate at best.
Still, good to see at this stage the modelling is on our side!
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Yeah, well we take what we can get, don't we? 
I just thought it would be interesting to track the forecast as we approach the event, and perhaps even look back afterwards at how accurate or otherwise the forecasts were.
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10-01-2007, 02:51 PM
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AstroNan
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Newcastle
Posts: 685
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Orion
Imagine 100+ people in the swimming hole this year!
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with the below summer temps we've been having this year maybe not...
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10-01-2007, 03:46 PM
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Spam Hunter
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Oberon NSW
Posts: 14,438
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Coming from Oberon (it gets cool here!) I can almost guarantee I'll be in the swimming hole regardless! If it's above 15 degrees its swimming weather for me!!!
Al.
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10-01-2007, 04:45 PM
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~Dust bunny breeder~
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Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: The town of campbells
Posts: 12,359
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best of luck peeps!
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14-01-2007, 11:55 PM
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The Glenfallus
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Central Coast, NSW
Posts: 2,702
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I found this link re longterm weather patterns for Lostock Dam for the past 35 odd years:
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/averag...w_061288.shtml
Daytime stats re cloud cover don't necessarily mean much in terms of night time clouds....and I recall last year that there was commonly lots of clouds in the mid afternoon, which tended to clear as twilight approached.
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15-01-2007, 12:24 AM
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Moderator
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: NEWCASTLE NSW Australia
Posts: 33,427
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Quote:
Originally Posted by venus
with the below summer temps we've been having this year maybe not...
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36 to 40 by the end of the week 
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15-01-2007, 05:48 AM
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Sir Post a Lot!
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Gosford, NSW, Australia
Posts: 36,799
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It's looking good for Thursday so far - can't find any predictions beyond that.
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15-01-2007, 08:38 AM
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Spam Hunter
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Oberon NSW
Posts: 14,438
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Wednesday, Jan 17
More Details
Partly sunny and pleasant
Low: 17 °C
High: 28 °C
Thursday, Jan 18
More Details
Mostly sunny and beautiful
Low: 18 °C
High: 28 °C
Friday, Jan 19
More Details
Partly sunny and pleasant
Low: 17 °C
High: 28 °C
Saturday, Jan 20
More Details
Sunny to partly cloudy
Low: 19 °C
High: 28 °C
Sunday, Jan 21
More Details
Several hours of sunshine
Low: 19 °C
High: 31 °C
They seem like warm nights! I don't remember the nights being that warm last year!
Al.
Last edited by sheeny; 15-01-2007 at 08:40 AM.
Reason: tidy up format
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15-01-2007, 08:42 AM
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Sir Post a Lot!
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Gosford, NSW, Australia
Posts: 36,799
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yeh that is pretty warm! Does that mean it'll keep the dew away?
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15-01-2007, 11:46 AM
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Spam Hunter
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Oberon NSW
Posts: 14,438
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iceman
yeh that is pretty warm! Does that mean it'll keep the dew away?
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It means it has to be more humid (absolute) to get the dew to form, yes. Here's hoping high humidity isn't the reason they are predicting high overnight temps!
Al.
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15-01-2007, 11:55 AM
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sausagemaker to the stars
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: Dinmore, Queensland
Posts: 562
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I'll be bringing my Sun Filter along, maybe that will scare the clouds away.
If my memory is OK, We had a problem with dew last year, it started between 9:30 and 10:30 most nights.
Can someone bring "Starry Night" along on a laptop, then if it's cloudy we can project it and see what we are missing.....
Only joking.
Mike.
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15-01-2007, 12:15 PM
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Astro Shop Minion
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Mount Colah
Posts: 190
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If I remember right, the dew problem last year was mainly because of the proximity to the creek. Personally I'm not too worried this year, as I'll be running new dew heaters. Really starting to get excited now. First dark sky outing for the new scope. w00t!!
Clear skies,
Shane
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15-01-2007, 12:25 PM
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Sir Post a Lot!
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Gosford, NSW, Australia
Posts: 36,799
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The slight breeze on the Saturday night kept the dew at bay, it was marvellous.
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