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Old 11-11-2013, 01:46 AM
gary
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Exclamation One-tonne GOCE satellite set to re-enter somewhere on Earth very shortly

Fragments of the one-tonne Gravity Ocean Circulation Explorer (GOCE) satellite are
likely to crash to Earth within the next 24 to 48 hours according to ESA.
However, they do not know precisely when or where.

Story in Sydney Morning Herald here -
http://www.smh.com.au/technology/sci...110-2xa7i.html

Last edited by gary; 11-11-2013 at 02:18 AM.
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Old 11-11-2013, 02:06 AM
gary
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GOCE's polar orbit also results in it passing over most locations on Earth at one time
or another.

For example, if its orbit had not been in decay it would have passed a couple of times
south to north over South Australia/Northern Territory and then West Australia
on 11 Nov 2013 between approximately 10:36 UTC to 12:06 UTC.

The decaying orbit would no longer make these predicted passes accurate.

However, if it has not re-entered before that time, Australian observers in South Australia and West Australia
might like to follow events online and set up cameras in anticipation, in case it does put on a show.
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Last edited by gary; 11-11-2013 at 02:16 AM.
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Old 11-11-2013, 04:04 AM
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JB80 (Jarrod)
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Here are a couple of real time trackers if anyone is interested.

http://www.n2yo.com/?s=34602

http://www.satview.org/forec.php?sat_id=34602U
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Old 11-11-2013, 12:02 PM
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ZeroID (Brent)
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That second URL seems to be working better. The first one comes up as not available ( it was last week ) Probably getting swamped with view requests.
Thanks
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Old 11-11-2013, 12:07 PM
gary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JB80 View Post
Hi Jarrod.

So these guy's program is currently predicting Iran in about three hours from
now at 03:59 UTC (14:59 AEDT) with the proviso the margin of error is
+/-3 orbits.
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Old 11-11-2013, 01:56 PM
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astroron (Ron)
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She is finished,no damage done.
http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Ob..._in_to_gravity

Cheers
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Old 11-11-2013, 02:35 PM
gary
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Originally Posted by astroron View Post
She is finished,no damage done.
http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Ob..._in_to_gravity

Cheers
Hi Ron,

It will be interesting to hear where they believe that 25% they estimated actually
came down.

Edit - It is more likely that it came down on the pass that was to take it over India.
Perhaps it in the western Pacific or Alaska?

Last edited by gary; 11-11-2013 at 02:45 PM.
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Old 11-11-2013, 02:50 PM
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astroron (Ron)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gary View Post
Hi Ron,

It will be interesting to hear where they believe that 25% they estimated actually
came down.

Edit - It is more likely that it came down on the pass that was to take it over India.
Perhaps it in the western Pacific or Alaska?
If it was over Alaska or the Western Pacific? not much to hit there in the way of people or infrastructure.
Cheers
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Old 12-11-2013, 12:06 AM
gary
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In an update on the ESA web site, the estimated area where the remnants fell
is in the southern Atlantic, near the Falkland Islands.

Story here -
http://blogs.esa.int/rocketscience/2...-entry-region/
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