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  #21  
Old 29-03-2020, 10:49 AM
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Thats good. Perhaps more pharmacies will deliver under the new scheme for PBS drugs if Australia Post will pick up. Some are finding delivery too hard.


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Originally Posted by gary View Post
  #22  
Old 29-03-2020, 11:20 AM
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That is a step in the right direction, especially for our older citizens.
  #23  
Old 29-03-2020, 11:52 AM
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11.55am UNIVERSAL TELEHEALTH ACCESS TO ROLL OUT ON MONDAY

11.55am 29 March 2020

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sydney Morning Herald
UNIVERSAL TELEHEALTH ACCESS TO ROLL OUT ON MONDAY

BY FERGUS HUNTER

There will be universal telehealth access from tomorrow under the package announced by the government.
People will be able to contact their GP, specialist, psychiatrist, psychologist and other health professionals on the phone or video conferencing platforms rather than attending an in-person appointment.
Speaking in Canberra, Health Minister Greg Hunt said “everything which can be done by telehealth will be done by telehealth” but it was important that face-to-face consultations continued where necessary.
Deputy chief medical officer Michael Kidd said the health system was undergoing unprecedented and “dramatic” change.
“In a pandemic, one of the greatest risks to the population is if we see a collapse of healthcare services, with people with acute and chronic conditions, with mental health conditions, not getting access to the services they need,” he said.
“The measures put in place will ensure that the people of Australia continue to have access to high-quality general practice and other healthcare services available from their chosen providers.”
  #24  
Old 29-03-2020, 12:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter Ward View Post
Interesting that Nigeria, population 204 million, has just 40 odd reported cases.
I also find it very suspect that China is showing virtually no new cases for the whole of March. Cracks me up also when their detailed daily reports say the majority of new infections are "imported"

Some other reports say Indonesia might have a major problem soon. That's very close to home but not appearing in the stats yet. We're all in for the long haul.
  #25  
Old 31-03-2020, 02:21 PM
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New Zealand modelling reports publicly

New Zealand modelling reports publicly released :-

https://www.health.govt.nz/publicati...elling-reports

Quote:
Originally Posted by New Zealand Ministry of Health
COVID-19 modelling provides a clear warning of consequences of not acting swiftly and decisively


Media release

31 March 2020

A series of mathematical models warning of the consequences for the lack of early action to prevent the spread of COVID-19 reinforce the importance of the current lockdown and other government measures.

“The modelling shows that without the actions currently being taken, the uncontrolled spread of COVID-19 would exact a high price in New Zealand in terms of its impact on our health services, including our intensive care units, and deaths” says Dr Ashley Bloomfield.

The Ministry of Health today published a series of modelling - all looking at how a range of measures can help reduce the impact of COVID-19.

“The modelling was continually updated as more real world evidence could be incorporated and the impact of different interventions could be considered. What is consistent across all the models is that we had a stark choice – let the virus spread unchecked and see large numbers of New Zealanders get sick, our health system overrun and many people dying, or taking firm measures to save lives.

“All of the scenarios show an unacceptable level of deaths in New Zealand without strong action. We can see these scenarios playing out overseas already.

“Even with the sorts of strong measures we have in place to stamp out the virus the modelling is still predicting there could be a heavy toll on our health system and loss of life. That shows how seriously we need to take the virus, stick to the rules of the lockdown and maintain measures that reduce the risk of the virus entering the country.”

The modelling was considered alongside a range of other information to inform the Ministry of Health's advice to the Government on its response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Other key information sources were the 16-24 Feb WHO joint mission to China, the University of Auckland report, and the 18 March publication from Imperial College, London, (a WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling), which was particularly significant in informing the development of New Zealand’s Alert levels and the decision to move quickly from Alert level 3 to Alert level 4.

As COVID-19 was a rapidly evolving situation the Ministry asked for a range of scenarios to be prepared, including an appropriately informed worst-case scenario.

The reports have been completed by Wellington researchers from the University of Otago in collaboration with university colleagues from Germany. The models were revised based on feedback from peer reviewers, the Ministry of Health's Chief Science Advisor and public health officials.

“It’s critical to understand that each of the models presents a number of potential future scenarios, none of which are future predictions” says Dr Bloomfield.

Each model has its own degree of uncertainty determined by the assumptions required for any modelling work, and those assumptions are based on the best information available from overseas evidence at the time.

The key assumptions within these models are sourced from available literature and expert judgement.

"The key value of modelling like this is to assist with planning and decision making at an early stage – when prevention measures can have greater effect – and along with a range of other information, modelling can guide decision makers," Dr Bloomfield said.

Other international modelling studies are based on similar information but are specific to their country and stage of the epidemic.

New Zealand’s island nation status, low population density and limited mass public transport may all help reduce the impact here.

“There is broad support from the modelling that containing the spread of the disease is crucial to reduce and delay the impacts of the epidemic on human health and to allow health systems to prepare.

“The modelling and advice produced from it is in line with the international scientific consensus on COVID-19 and the sorts of responses most countries are now taking to fight the virus.

"The impact and effectiveness of the measures announced by the Government – our lockdown, closed border, internal travel restrictions, work closures, excellent hygiene practices, greater physical distancing and testing, contact tracing and isolation – all play a critical role in reducing the impact on the health and wellbeing of New Zealanders," Dr Bloomfield said.

Media contact

Peter Abernethy
021 366 111

Last edited by gary; 31-03-2020 at 02:39 PM.
  #26  
Old 31-03-2020, 03:32 PM
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This game helps scientists design COVID drugs. They want you to play

Quote:
You don't have to be a scientist to do science! Download and play Foldit and you can help researchers discover new antiviral drugs that might stop coronavirus! The most promising solutions will be manufactured and tested at the University of Washington Institute for Protein Design in Seattle.

Foldit is run by academic research scientists. It is free to play and not-for-profit. To get started, download Foldit and create a username!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Liam Mannix, Sydney Morning Herald
Stuck at home and feeling helpless in the face of a global pandemic?

You don’t need to be.

If you like solving puzzles, scientists want your help to start designing potential drugs to combat the coronavirus using a game you can play on your computer.

The citizen-science project, known as Foldit, hopes to start turning designs into actual drugs within a month.

Asking untrained people to design drugs sounds like pie in the sky. But the science behind the project is very real, independent researchers told The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald.

“The lab behind it, led by Professor David Baker, is possibly the best equipped in the world to design a protein,” says Associate Professor Ashley Buckle, a protein engineer based at Monash University.
https://fold.it/

SMH story :-
https://www.smh.com.au/national/this...30-p54fby.html
  #27  
Old 31-03-2020, 03:41 PM
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The latest Australian info (ABC update) shows all the deaths in Oz (other than one...) are seniors.
SIS may continue for some while.
  #28  
Old 01-04-2020, 10:57 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Merlin66 View Post
The latest Australian info (ABC update) shows all the deaths in Oz (other than one...) are seniors.
So seniors are over 50, 55, 60, 65, 70 you get the idea.

Basically I'm ****ed.
  #29  
Old 02-04-2020, 10:11 AM
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The Latest Johns Hopkins map has gone bum up it shows USA with no cases Reckon it is a glitch or they just want to hide the tale of woe.


https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html


All fixed now...

Last edited by Exfso; 02-04-2020 at 10:46 AM.
  #30  
Old 02-04-2020, 02:35 PM
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France had a jump of 8000 new cases in 24 h. That's double the amount they usually get. Not good.
We're doing remarkably well considering.
  #31  
Old 02-04-2020, 05:28 PM
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CSIRO begins testing Covid-19 vaccines

https://www.csiro.au/en/News/News-re...id-19-vaccines
  #32  
Old 02-04-2020, 06:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tandum View Post
So seniors are over 50, 55, 60, 65, 70 you get the idea.

Basically I'm ****ed.
Co-morbidity seems to be paramount.

Prince Charles (no doubt with the best Harley Street MD's on hand) showed very few symptoms.

In fact, Australia's results are remarkable... It will be interesting to see if the trend continues
  #33  
Old 02-04-2020, 09:16 PM
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The CSIRO may help save the day despite being starved of funds.

There may be some genetic factors yet to be determined . So a bit of a lottery either way.
  #34  
Old 02-04-2020, 09:32 PM
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Looks very bad. I hope the rate start to improve soon.

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Originally Posted by multiweb View Post
France had a jump of 8000 new cases in 24 h. That's double the amount they usually get. Not good.
We're doing remarkably well considering.
  #35  
Old 03-04-2020, 11:36 AM
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New case numbers in Oz continue to fall.

Looking at the cold hard numbers, two dozen deaths from COVID-19 is remarkably low. Begging the question why are Spain/Italy being hit so hard?

The Netherlands went for herd immunity with no attempt to reduce the risk
to their (younger) population. Their numbers are remarkably good...and certainly way better than Spain/Italy.

I am struggling to see how early predictions of 1.4 million cases in NSW alone will come to pass. What am I missing here?
  #36  
Old 03-04-2020, 02:38 PM
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Pre-clinical COVID-19 vaccine trials begin at CSIRO

https://blog.csiro.au/covid19-vaccine-trials/
  #37  
Old 03-04-2020, 03:47 PM
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Aussie! Aussie! Aussie!
  #38  
Old 03-04-2020, 04:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter Ward View Post
Looking at the cold hard numbers, two dozen deaths from COVID-19 is remarkably low. Begging the question why are Spain/Italy being hit so hard?

...

I am struggling to see how early predictions of 1.4 million cases in NSW alone will come to pass. What am I missing here?
That number was based on doing nothing.

We are not doing nothing. Isolation, social distancing, testing and contact tracing. Makes a huge difference.

As for Spain/Italy, they did not flatten the curve fast enough, which meant their medical systems got swamped, compounding the issue even more.


And, keep this in mind - until we get a vaccine, that 1.4 million cases is still a real possibility - it should however take a lot, lot longer to get to, given what we are doing.
  #39  
Old 03-04-2020, 05:40 PM
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What is it with Sydney Siders

Are these people thick or what
https://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/he...a%E2%80%99s%20
  #40  
Old 03-04-2020, 05:48 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lazjen View Post
That number was based on doing nothing........

We are not doing nothing. Isolation, social distancing, testing and contact tracing. Makes a huge difference.
Agreed. But doing nothing was no more an option than millions of infections becoming the reality.

The mortality rate in Oz is at the moment is a mere 1 per million (or so) of population.

While it would be imprudent to "go back to normal" just yet....at what point do you accept further, but minimal deaths, in a bid to return to "normality" ?

Moreover, while I'm looking at Australian figures and think, " yep we've got this "....

I look at the USA figures I suspect will become even more bleak....mainly due a lack of universal health care, and despite their posturing, is this a consequence of being a rich, but remarkably unegalitarian society?

P.S.
Due my round with Cancer, had my annual review scans this week. Without insurance, it would have cost about $A50k if performed in the USA.

I have private health insurance, but they put me through as a public patient. Didn't cost me a cent...
to repeat: " yep we've got this "
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