6-ton satellite will crash back to Earth

[glenc (Glen)]

I saw UARS go over last night. Might see it again tonight.

[Jen]

Originally Posted by jjjnettie

It can land in my back yard. I wouldn't mind in the least.

lol jj we so think alike i was just about to post same thing haha

[glenc (Glen)]

Re-entry is expected some time on Friday, although it could happen as early as Thursday or as late as Saturday.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/...78I5GE20110919

[glenc (Glen)]

http://reentrynews.aero.org/1991063b.html
This map shows the predicted re-entry point. I will check this map again tomorrow.
It passes here at 6:47 am and 4:02 pm on 23/9. If it crashes it should be visible in daylight!
Supposed to crash between 4pm Fri and 8pm Sat our time. It passes near Adelaide, Melbourne and Perth.

[Kevnool (Kev)]

And still no drop zone

[Spanrz (Brett)]

Watching this closely. NASA has confirmed that the US won't get hit. That leaves higher probability for us?
There is 2 passes early Sat morn for me, so it'll be down to what pass it deorbits on. Oooooooh another Skylab?

[mswhin63 (Malcolm)]

I am hoping it will be an evening pass during DSO evening

[Danack (Dan Ackroyd)]

Is there anywhere online that shows it's current altitude? Or somewhere you can signup to get the two hour re-entry warning?

[jjjnettie (Jeanette)]

This is the one you want.

http://www.n2yo.com

[Mliss (Mel)]

thanks for that link JJJ. very cool! it's actually passing over Australia right now!

[Danack (Dan Ackroyd)]

"Mr Legault, an engineer, used a specially designed camera to record the tumbling satellite through his 14-inch telescope, posting the footage on his Astrophotography website."

via bbc news

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-15009337

Or Mr Legault's website:
http://legault.perso.sfr.fr/uars_110915.html

[Danack (Dan Ackroyd)]

Originally Posted by jjjnettie

This is the one you want.

http://www.n2yo.com

Thanks thats got the theoretical position but doesn't have the current height does it (unless I'm not looking in the right place).

This guy seems to be giving out data points every couple of hours:
http://twitter.com/#!/UARS_Reentry

And he's also got a plot of how the descent is going compared to the predicted models.

http://twitpic.com/6omo24

[Jen]

cool thanks

[ballaratdragons (Ken)]

Originally Posted by Saturn%5

Like everthing else im sure it will bypass Tasmania .

Originally Posted by Ric

There wouldn't be that much left by the time it gets through the atmosphere.

Wouldn't be much left of Tasmania if it did hit it

[glenc (Glen)]

The latest prediction is 8am Sat AEST give or take 9 hours.
That makes it 11pm Fri to 5pm Sat AEST. Here is the map.
http://reentrynews.aero.org/1991063b.html

[Alchemy (Clive)]

You beauty it goes right through Victoria, if it comes down early we might get a light show.
Keep the updates coming.

[glenc (Glen)]

This prediction for Melbourne http://www.heavens-above.com/PassSum...&alt=0&tz=AEST
does not seem to agree with the map. (click all)

[glenc (Glen)]

The latest prediction is 11am on 24/9 AEST (Range is 4am to 6pm AEST)

[traveller (Bo)]

Power Point from NASA briefing attached

[TinyBlueDot (John)]

If any of it drops on Canberra, hoping it'll put in a nice new skylight on the big building on the hill Pity the occupants have gone home for the weekend......