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Old 21-12-2007, 02:30 PM
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Mars could be hit

Don't know if this has already been posted here at IIS???

But found this while trawling the science 'Wires' at work today:

Mars could be in for an asteroid hit.

US scientists says a newly discovered hunk of space rock has a one in 75 chance of slamming into the Red Planet on January 30.

NASA astronomer .. STEVE CHESLEY says these odds are extremely unusual.

CHESLEY says they know the asteroid will most likely miss mars but there is a possibility of impact.

The asteroid .. known as 2007 WD5 .. was discovered in late November and is similar in size to the Tunguska object that hit remote central Siberia in 1908 .. unleashing energy equivalent to a 15-megaton nuclear bomb that wiped out 60 million trees.
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Old 21-12-2007, 02:34 PM
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Wow! way cool!!!! I hope it all works out cause I'll definetely travel to
clear skies to what that!!!!....hmmmmm watch that!!!, even....

btw, is that January 30th 2008?

regards,CS
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Old 21-12-2007, 02:35 PM
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I guess so, Rob. It doesn't specify a year...so I'm asuming with Mars being in closer proximity it's based around that being topical???
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Old 21-12-2007, 02:40 PM
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1 chance in 75? I think I'll keep my money in my pocket.
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Old 21-12-2007, 02:41 PM
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That's right! Mars being not too too far away we might be able to observe
an inpact : ))))))))

regards,CS
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Old 21-12-2007, 02:42 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by erick View Post
1 chance in 75? I think I'll keep my money in my pocket.
A chance in 75 is enough to prick my ears up

regards,CS
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Old 21-12-2007, 02:44 PM
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Link:

http://www.latimes.com/news/science/...la-home-center
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Old 21-12-2007, 02:46 PM
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Thanks for providing the link
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Old 21-12-2007, 03:04 PM
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Quick - down to Ladbrokes - what odds it'll hit one of the rovers?


"The asteroid's course has now taken it behind Earth's moon, he said, so it will be almost two weeks before observers get another chance to plot its course more accurately."

This confused me, but it must be suggesting that asteroid is tracking same path and speed as the Moon, from our earthbound perspective. I find it hard to believe given how fast the Moon moves relative to the stars??
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Old 21-12-2007, 03:04 PM
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We're not talking 1 in-a-million chance, we're talking 1 in 75 chance. I think there is a pretty good chance of the Asteroid hitting Mars. Don't you?

Matt
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Old 21-12-2007, 03:05 PM
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OK, there are 74 out of 75 chances that it won't hit Mars. It'll miss.
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Old 21-12-2007, 03:34 PM
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Yes, the odds are stacked against the asteroid hitting Mars. But saying that, it would make a wonderful event to observe.
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Old 21-12-2007, 03:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Matty P View Post
it would make a wonderful event to observe.
Indeed, Matt.

I'd agree that 1 in 75 aren't particularly flash odds...but you never know

It doesn't hurt to dream or wonder
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Old 21-12-2007, 03:51 PM
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wounder how the rovers would fair if it did hit?
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Old 21-12-2007, 04:00 PM
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Reportedly 50m across. If any bits of the rover were found, they would be very flat?
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Old 21-12-2007, 04:02 PM
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Quote:
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.......it would make a wonderful event to observe.
I agree absolutely - a "scientific bonanza" they say.
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Old 21-12-2007, 04:13 PM
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Comet Shoemaker - Levy 9 hitting Jupiter was a thrill I'll never forget!!
It would be fantastic to see. But won't be taking the the chance on a new refractor untill the odds look a little closer.
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Old 21-12-2007, 05:08 PM
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Oh goody!
This will be very interesting!!!!!
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Old 22-12-2007, 06:17 AM
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Could this object be the return of the lost Mars Climate Observer from the 1999 mission, where one team performed their calculations in Imperial Units, the other in SI units?

Cheers

Dennis
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Old 22-12-2007, 07:34 AM
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Amazing stuff and a very interesting link. If it does happen our resident planetary imagers will no doubt have some amazing images to show.

Cheers
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