Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter Ward
Looking at the cold hard numbers, two dozen deaths from COVID-19 is remarkably low. Begging the question why are Spain/Italy being hit so hard?
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I am struggling to see how early predictions of 1.4 million cases in NSW alone will come to pass. What am I missing here?
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That number was based on doing nothing.
We are not doing nothing. Isolation, social distancing, testing and contact tracing. Makes a huge difference.
As for Spain/Italy, they did not flatten the curve fast enough, which meant their medical systems got swamped, compounding the issue even more.
And, keep this in mind - until we get a vaccine, that 1.4 million cases is still a real possibility - it should however take a lot, lot longer to get to, given what we are doing.