Quote:
Originally Posted by tonybarry
My suspicion is that Nth Korea does not intend to provide a deterrent with its nukes ... it intends to use them.
Evidence for this suspicion is well documented by wasyoungonce.
The government is a young person with exceptional powers to command resources of the state and to enforce heavy penalties on the citizenry if they refuse to do his bidding.
The Nth Korean leader appears to be quite out-of-touch with both international politics and his own people. Out-of-touch people can frequently make gross error of judgement simply due to an incorrect appraisal of reality.
My estimation of the danger that Nth Korea will instigate nuclear war ... is higher than between the USSR and the USA in 1963 / Bay of Pigs. If Nth Korea obtains more fissile material I think they will use it on military targets.
I earnestly hope I am wrong.
Regards,
Tony Barry
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Sorry Tony, I doubt that will ever happen. For a greater understanding of this issue read the BBC News (a credible news source) article "What is driving North Korea's test plan? at
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-21231204
You have to remember that North Korea has been 'technically' at war with the US for 50 years, (see:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/10165796) They simply want a deterrent (and bargaining chip) and are unlikely to use such a weapon, despite the rhetoric. It would be suicide, and I doubt any Government would be that mad to bring about the destruction of human civilisation.
Just remember MAD means "mutually assured destruction". One nuke from North Korea would bring a rain of hell down upon them. There would be no winners. And that is why it is unlikely, although not certain, that there will be a nuke war any time soon.
Cheers Peter