My suspicion is that Nth Korea does not intend to provide a deterrent with its nukes ... it intends to use them.
Evidence for this suspicion is well documented by wasyoungonce.
The government is a young person with exceptional powers to command resources of the state and to enforce heavy penalties on the citizenry if they refuse to do his bidding.
The Nth Korean leader appears to be quite out-of-touch with both international politics and his own people. Out-of-touch people can frequently make gross error of judgement simply due to an incorrect appraisal of reality.
My estimation of the danger that Nth Korea will instigate nuclear war ... is higher than between the USSR and the USA in 1963 / Bay of Pigs. If Nth Korea obtains more fissile material I think they will use it on military targets.
I earnestly hope I am wrong.
Regards,
Tony Barry
|