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Hi guys. You are basically looking for a time when Leo is up, (the higher the better) while the sun is still not up yet. Look to the north east early morning from around 2am onwards.
Try to imagine your head is the earth and as you move in your orbit across the garden, someone turns the hose on fan-spray at you. As you look at it head-on, the droplets seem to fan out from a central point, namely the hose nozzel.
Similarly, Leo is the hose nozzel. You can see all the meteorites fanning out from there. Sometimes you might get only a few in an hour, sometimes more.
The trail that the Earth passes through behind the wake of a comet, it like a car travelling on a dirt road, sometimes it's really dusty, sometimes it's stone and loose pebble, other times it turns to bitumen. Similarly, the Earth passes each year through a different part of the comet's wake. Sometimes we pass through a clean spot and we only get a few meteors. Other times it's really dirty and the whole sky can turn to fire.
Predictions are not historically good. All I can say is, get out there and get those long exposures going on a wide section of sky. Keep taking them all night. You never know when we might hit a big patch of bulldust!
Baz.
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