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Wednesday 7th November
Synoptic Situation: A high is expected to remain slow moving near New Zealand over the next few days, maintaining a firm ridge along the east Queensland coast. A surface trough over southwestern Queensland will move only slowly eastwards through western Queensland during Wednesday.
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands Forecast: Isolated showers about the coast and ranges, mainly during the morning and evening. Light to moderate S to SE winds.
Cloud Forecasts
BoM Access Model: High cloud north of eclipse area and a little in central Cape York over the path. Low cloud offshore mainly south of Cairns.
Skippy Sky: A little low cloud offshore and the usual indication at Mt Carbine. Less high cloud than BoM model, mainly western and far northern Cape York.
EU: 40-70% low cloud for Cairns/Port Douglas with some mid-level cloud after eclipse time. 50% low cloud at Mt Carbine. <30% low cloud inland.
Satellite Analysis/Observed Weather
Visible Satellite Image (6:33AM): Patchy cloud cover along the coast, over the ranges and offshore. Clearest sky halfway between Cairns and Port Douglas.
Cairns Airport (6:30AM): Few clouds (2-3 oktas) at 2600ft.
Webcams: Cloud cover low in east initially but increasing at Cairns through the morning and sun largely obscured (unluckily) at eclipse time. Clearer skies in Mareeba and Mt Carbine.
Low cloud pattern similar to previous days.. models not able to say much meaningful about the details. European model probably the most useful indicator. BoM and US Model did a reasonable job indicating the high cloud over Cape York, with the reality probably somewhere between the two.
Chance of Success (if eclipse had been this day)
Coast: ~~40% (just clouded out in Cairns, but a little clearer to the north. reports from anybody in Port Douglas today welcome.)
60km Inland:~70-80%
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