View Single Post
  #19  
Old 23-10-2012, 09:42 AM
Phil Hart's Avatar
Phil Hart
Registered User

Phil Hart is offline
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Mount Glasgow (central Vic)
Posts: 1,091
Tuesday 23rd October
Synoptic Situation: A weakening ridge lies along the tropical east coast of Queensland.
Forecast: Mainly fine and mostly sunny. Only isolated showers developing during the late evening about the coast and ranges. Light to moderate S to SE winds, becoming fresh about the coast during the afternoon.

Cloud Forecasts
BoM Access Model: Heavy high cloud over all of far-north Queensland.
Skippy Sky: Extensive high cloud, with mid-level cloud north of eclipse track.
EU: Overcast with high cloud along coast and inland sites. Only very small amount of low cloud.

Observed Weather
Cairns: Few low clouds, Overcast high cloud and similar for all of the eclipse area.

All the models did well today anticipating the movement of a large system of high cloud coming down from the North. Again, not the kind of weather we want for eclipse day!

Chance of Success (if eclipse had been this day)
Coast: <5% (but with a hazy view of the sun through high cloud)
60km Inland: <5% (but with a hazy view of the sun through high cloud)
Reply With Quote