I don't think MW will pull it off. He simply doesn't have that extra "nth' to be a top-flight GP driver. If he was going to win the championship, he would have done so by now.
Haven't seen the qualifying, but Hamilton/Button, Vettel/Schuey would be my guess.
Hamilton? Button? Vettel? (in no particular order) would get my money for the win.
But see below...