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Old 12-04-2011, 04:28 PM
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CraigS
Unpredictable

CraigS is offline
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: Australia
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Quote:
Originally Posted by renormalised View Post
Too bad, but we have to be very careful about what we might believe about the nature of indeterminate systems such as these. They may not be as unpredictable as they seem. What we may see as being unpredictable might in fact be ordered. Our scope of inquiry is by its nature limited, so we cannot know for certain whether a system has any true unpredictability or order to it. If it appears that 15-20% of systems eventually end up with terrestrial planets, for argument's sake, then there must be some underlying order present despite the seeming unpredictability to the processes involved.
Ah .. the ol' 15-20% of systems eventually ending up with terrestrial planets prediction, eh ?
(I'm still stuck in 'Get Smart' mode, from yesterday .. just kidding …)

Even a probable outcome is not a dead certainty.

There's still plenty of space for unpredictability in there.

And yep .. sure …. there's plenty of order, (and deterministic sub-systems), in amongst all of the elements in the mix (gee .. we see it here on Earth, everyday).

Both order and chaos are assured outcomes. But how does this impact the statistic quoted ?

(Happy to read up more on the model .. I have no idea about whether or not they included any non-deterministic logic ..I'll bet they haven't .. but will have a read when I get the chance. )

Cheers
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