Quote:
Originally Posted by CraigS
Ok .. the scientific plot thickens …
He's a video of 'John Rundle', UC Davis seismologist predicting the numbers and magnitudes of the aftershocks. A gloomy outlook for Tokyo, it seems.
He mentions these predictions are in accordance with the 'well known' Laws of Seismology … he mentions 'Bass' Law of Seismology (at around the 25 sec mark).
Anyone know anything about Bass' Law ?
(I'm very willing to learn more about this … )

Cheers
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It's to do with the statistical analysis of earthquake prediction, namely the scaling of earthquake seismicity and modeling between simulated and actual earthquakes. They try to predict aftershocks using the models generated. Rundle helped develop the BASS model for earthquake prediction
Here's the article