This is not a prediction, mate.
Prediction goes as follows:
First you think you've got the mechanism which you want to discuss. (the details of what is happening.. you haven't gave it to us yet).
Then you calculate the details of the behaviour based on above mentioned mechanism.
If the numbers fit, the idea has some merit., if they don't, the idea is worthless.
Prediction without numbers is not even "incomplete".. it is not prediction, it is just a chat which goes with beer in a pub with mates, that's all.
Which is not bad per se, of course
.. but then lets not use such strong words (as "prediction"
)