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Here is a little check list, when you have all of these confirmed then we can start looking elsewhere.
Polar both axis to at least 4 minutes with a 12mm reticle. That is do the meridian and then eastern star and back to meridian and each should be polar aligned to 4 minutes. Meaning no movement whatsoever until 4 minutes has passed.
Next check all you cables, are they plugged in properly.
Check the mount fixings, like how the scope is fixed onto the mount, the mount head itself and the guide scope and cameras. Any thing that is not really tight will need tightening.
When PHD is calibrating is the star moving very far? Watch it to see that it is. If no movement at all then once again check your cables.
Check the aggression in PHD. For your mount it should be on the default of 100%
Check to ensure that the mount is tracking in sidereal. Sounds silly but it might well be in lunar or solar. Also check what speed the guide corrections are too. Not sure if the software will tell you that, but you could check. Is the mount set for the southern hemisphere?
From what I can see in those images it can only really one of two things. Either the mount is not polar aligned (most likely cause) or there is a setting that is not correct in the mount control. PHD will usually not give you guiding if it cannot calibrate. So it is likely that Polar alignment is the real culprit. You have to be very accurate with polar alignment. Have you done, much polar aligning?
Let me know when you have answered all these questions. I will then come up with more questions.
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