Alan, first up I find the notion "what do you believe" adds a almost religious fervour to the debate. Not helpful.
I might believe in Rastafarianism. Or if I leap off a 40 storey building, I might believe I can fly (even going past the 10th floor, I could say: so far, so good! ....).
As for that crappy piece in the Australian, it never gets around to asking "what does the data really say?" (as opposed to something we already knew: most of our government Pollies are pretty dim, and ill advised)
There is no doubt the data does say 2005 to 2008 were cooling periods.
But this conveniently ignores the previous 50 years of sustained warming, and the fact that all (reasonable) climate change predictions accept there will be natural variability to all weather events.
If the trend continues to cool for the next 50 years, then we are in the happy situation of "I told you so" .
If however El Nino kicks back in along with the next solar maximum, 2010 may well be the hottest (plus many to follow) on record.
I'd personally rather pay a dumb tax than be flying past the 10th floor on spaceship earth.
|