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Originally Posted by Iddon
I think an early risk assessment was 1 hull loss after 100 launches. Then Challenger, and that safety program took the estimate well above 1/100. Guess they were wrong (2 in 126 ??). I think the current safety drive should take them into the 1 in the hundreds. I would ride it.
I have done a lot of reading on the Apollo/Saturn program. From what I recall their risk number were worse than Shuttle.
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2 in 113.
Each shuttle was expected to complete 100 flights when designed.
Flying in one would be great, you only have to worry about takeoff and landing.