Quote:
Originally Posted by gary
La Niña is not back. Well not yet, in any case.
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which are the criteria actually measured, is currently neutral.
The ENSO Outlook, which is the forecast, is currently at 'Inactive', meaning an El Niño or La Niña is not underway.
On 30th April, ABC meteorologist Tom Saunders provided a lengthy article
explaining the current wet weather over southern Australia in terms of
a "blocking high", the name given to a high-pressure system that stalls
from several days to several weeks, and blocks the typical eastward
movement of weather. As Tim says :-
Article including graphics here :-
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-04-...-nsw/103782106
BOM ESNO Climate Driver Update :-
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
BOM ESNO Outlook :-
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/ |
Thanks Gary for the latest forecasting from BOM and ABC
My comment about La Niña occurring now was merely speculative , however the info from BOM I found had it turning from neutral to positive by June / July
Thank goodness it’s only a “Blocking High” for a week or so
Hopefully clearer skies late May
Martin