No leadership or mentors left. Another classic example of the downfall caused by government departmental madness, and the demonic rise of political correctness. Independent forecasters are out (with their radical and unfavourable predictions), and in with the "yes" brigade (with their mediocre and public-calming BS )
El Nino and El Nina = El Nonsense. Now there's no accurate responsible prediction - it's either Nino or Nina (with the excuse that it may change "without warning")
Bring back Inigo Jones and Lennox Walker! (For those who can remember!)
Doesn't hurt to have a look out the window, either, and see what the ants and birds are telling you. Look at the tree bark, and growth patterns, they can also be a longer term indicator.
Accurate public weather forecasting is now a thing of the past, apart from if we ourselves use NOAA's radar and sat. imagery. (So much better than our BOM) Try it, you'd be surprised how accurate you will get after only a month or two. (Keep an exercise book type diary for a year or two!)
It's going to be wet - you're just getting into Solar Cycle 25, and these cycle usually go for 11 years or so.