Speaking from the front line as an emergency doctor
1/ the mortality reported in Italy and China is close to 20% for the over 65's
also with comorbities such as diabetes and asthma
2/Children and younger people seem to be spared=for now
3/ people walking around supermarkets with masks is not helpful- even in my hospital we are stretched with supplies and people keep nicking them
4/ Yesterday I saw a query case and although he was in a negative pressure room, I doubled gloved gowned and masked four or five times before he was moved to a dedicated area outside of DEM. Me plus two nurses and his partner burning through the commodities.
5/cases are under reported by a huge amount, public health does simply not have the capacity in each state to establish a base line let alone swab every one with a sore throat
6/my hospital just changed two emergency short stay wards into respiratory wards, and ordered 32 more ventilators.
7/no one in my profession is under any illusion that this is a **** fest- In Italy they could not treat other emergencies as the whole place was saturated with respiratory cases-including trauma and heart conditions etc
8/ I was teaching medical students recently and mentioned that in the 50's Polio epidemics there were not enough "iron lungs" so students took turns bagging patients for hours at a time- ,this may actually happen again .
My advice, stock up, keep away from crowds, wait it out. I cannot do that myself but wish you all the best.
https://threader.app/thread/1237142891077697538