[Wavytone]

The change to EVs will certainly happen, though in my view current crop EVs are only a short term solution - not the endgame.

Tesla have demonstrated that it is possible to build a practical family saloon which is engaging to drive and has adequate range and at a price point that is acceptable. But that’s only square one - and you still have to own one, park it somewhere, charge it, and maintain it - as well as drive it.

The big game changer will be autonomous vehicles. If you know a vehicle will be on your doorstep at the appointed time ready to go, and at journeys end you are not concerned with parking it, recharging or maintaining it, the vehicle will do those things for itself. The need to actually own one disappears.

It’s a bit like taxi fleets - only far cheaper since the driver has been removed and all the junk that goes with that.

They could even eliminate the need for trips to the local shops to buy bread and milk - order online, shopkeeper puts the stufff onboard a vehicle and it drives to you. Sounds suspiciously like Uber - minus the driver.

What’s more you could use a single-seater sports model for the commute to work, and use a big RV for hauling the family interstate on holidays. Smaller vehicles in the weekday peak periods also mean better road occupancy - ie moving more people with fewer traffic jams.

And never need to own the darn things. This also means city streets and apartments don’t need to provide so many parking spaces, as the vehicles should mostly be driving around being used.

The pieces of this puzzle are already falling into place - the software to drive the vehicle safely and reliably is the hardest part - and it will happen. Certainly within 20 years and maybe 10.

Uber is just the start. Eliminating the driver is next. And FWIW its already cheaper to use an Uber to drive your own car to work ... don’t ask me how that works financially but there it is.