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Old 07-07-2018, 03:24 PM
rally
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Australia
Posts: 896
Paper here
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.02404.pdf

They treat the Fermi Paradox as a range of uncertainties rather than as point values

Their Conclusion :

When we update this prior in light of the Fermi observation, we find a substantial probability that we are alone in our galaxy, and perhaps
even in our observable universe (53%–99.6% and 39%–85% respectively).
’Where are they?’— probably extremely far away, and quite possibly beyond the cosmological horizon and forever unreachable.

Shame about that I was hoping for ET
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