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Interesting.
These are all "known forces" you are talking about.
They just do what they've always done, anyway.
[And cause suffering for normal people in those regions, of course. ]
In that regard the risk for traditionally "western" states, i.e. people is low.
In comes an unknown force: Erdogan. That's a game changer. He's not playing by the rules established by the old players.
He's openly running amok. Supporting ISIS with weapons, performing genocide on Kurds, scaring the Turkish population into silence so no resistance against him will ever be possible again.
What's scary about that?
Turkey is a NATO state - and by inheritance somewhat entangled with the European populace and politics.
This crazy man Erdogan has the potential to fatally affront some state leader in the oil region - and then "we" are all hanging by the same NATO noose.
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