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Old 05-07-2016, 07:41 PM
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janoskiss (Steve H)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by leon View Post
The question is this : due to tattslotto being a game of chance, is the probability of getting six consecutive numbers equal to getting six random numbers.
Yes.

Quote:
Originally Posted by leon View Post
Or would the odds of getting six random numbers be more probable than getting six consecutive numbers.
No.


Quote:
Originally Posted by leon View Post
if I follow what I was taught in maths, about the laws of probability, there should be equal chance either way I play the game, or should there be.
That is correct.

It may seem counter-intuitive (as a lot of things in statistics are), but if you think about it, if you randomly* pick a number between 0 and 1000000, 123456 is just as likely as 851232.

*randomly should be qualified by the adjective 'uniformly': each outcome is equally likely.

If you find the maths a bit too abstract, you can do your own experiment, e.g., with two dice throws: is 1 followed by 2 more likely than 5 followed by 2 (or any other two numbers you care to choose). You do need a lot of repetition to get good stats though: 1000 at least (even that will have a fairly broad standard error). Or you could simplify it further and just use a coin: with three tosses, is [heads, heads, heads] more likely than say [heads, tails, tails]?
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