You need to ask yourself, how did they get my email address.
If I buy some crap off ebay I'll sometimes get delivery notices but not often.
i've set up a separate email address for paypal and if I see an email was delivered to that paypal address and it's from a mail courier it might be real.
Using a distinct paypal only address also lets me know that someone I bought from is sending me spam. Makes it easier to block it.
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