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In my experience currency predictions tend to just assume the current trend will continue - if it's going up, they assume it will continue, if it is going down, they assume it will continue to go down.
That all said, our economy isn't in the greatest of shape right now with the mining sector softening, plus the US economy seems to be on an upwards trajectory. That would suggest a weakening of the AUD vs USD, but the question is how far? It's already weakened a lot.
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