Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter Ward
Mate..I'm not the one digging the hole....you initial comment was "has failed to increase" ..... do you now retract that?
I've simply pointed out this is not the case.
1/2 of one degree per decade, like compound interest, still adds up.
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Hadcrut4 data = 0.04C per decade
Mr. Ward = 0.5C per decade
Anomaly range over 16 year period = +0.7c to -0.3c, with typically 0.2C variation in yearly anomaly change.(see earlier graph which I posted).
There are things called standard deviation and significance testing. I can't be bothered doing the work for you, but please feel free to do it yourself.
A trend result of 0.04C per decade from data that typically jumps around by more than 5 times that amount over that 16 year period, but often by much more so, is going to be statistically insignificant.
The rest of the world's climate scientist have had to accept it, because that is the statistical reality. Why can't you?
Regards,
Renato