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Quaoar
23-11-2009, 04:55 PM
Not sure if this is the right place to post this but during my regular cruise of NEO sites I picked up on 2009 WM1...over last three days its impact probs have increased....no real concern but I enjoy seeing how the probs wax and wane with each new ob.

http://www.space.com/common/forums/viewtopic.php?t=21197

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/2009wm1.html

Cheers,

Kevin from Wycheproof.

:)

citivolus
24-11-2009, 04:40 AM
Looking at its size, the time frame of the potential impacts, and how it will possibly be hanging around our orbit very closely from 2050 through 2100, I'm willing to bet that this one will end up getting mined out of existence long before impact :)

Quaoar
24-11-2009, 04:19 PM
As of this morning 2009 WM1 has a Torino 1 rating. This is routine for early observations...still...impact probability has increased with each set of observations so far...

Cheers,

Kevin from Wycheproof.

:)

Quaoar
25-11-2009, 05:48 PM
hmnnn...keeps getting *better* !

JPL Sentry has updated.

Cumulative PS -0.96 impact risk 1 in 5260

2018 PS -1.24 (1 in 19K)
2027 PS -1.45 (1 in 15K)
2032 PS -1.89 (1 in 32K)

116 VI's between 2018 and 2106.

Cheers,

Kevin from Wycheproof.

:)