PDA

View Full Version here: : CERN = $15 billion NBN = $50 billion


Visionary
07-10-2017, 12:23 PM
Gillard and her cabinet should be held personally responsible for the horrendous waste of the NBN. Australia is the most sparsely populated inhabited continent upon Earth. The NBN was not specified to provide a communications system it was specified to win an election and it did.
Australia could have easily afforded 2 or 3 CERN's at the cost of the NBN. Imagine if we had directed a 1/3 or less of the total NBN waste and directed towards the construction of the worlds leading Physics Laboratory!
The marketplace was always going to deliver faster internet speeds, it always has and always will. The only legacy value delivered via the NBN was an additional term of a highly unpopular, machiavellian Government.
I am not putting this forward for Partizan reasons, any Gov who offered the Australian people the opportunity to host the World's premier Physics Laboratory would have my vote.
The NBN was simply an unimaginative desperate folly designed to elicit votes from a scientifically naive electorate.
As the NBN was designed to maintain incumbency then those who benefited financially from the additional term of office should be held personally responsible for the cost overruns, cost overruns that were inevitable.

Visionary
07-10-2017, 12:35 PM
How about a couple of these instead of an NBN?

http://www.fnal.gov/

AstralTraveller
07-10-2017, 12:35 PM
So there you go. It costs more to make information travel slow than to make particles go fast. Whoda thought!;)

Wavytone
07-10-2017, 12:54 PM
What else do you expect from a bunch of C-grade lawyers who were not good enough in private practice to make silk, yet won safe seats through the clout of the ACTU ? And bear in mind most lawyers are digitally illiterate.

I'm sorry but I disagree with the suggestion of building a leading physics lab here - they frankly would be another pointless white elephant.

What does matter - first and foremost - is the construction of major public infrastructure that produces lasting and tangible benefits to all levels of society. Unfortunately the NBN isn't one.

Visionary
07-10-2017, 01:38 PM
The idea of a world-leading Lab is very attractive, in today's world, a world without borders the concept of Global Commuting is valid. At the same time I appreciate the point your making, but "glass half-full" we could do it.

The_bluester
07-10-2017, 02:05 PM
Communications wise what do you propose as an alternative to the NBN?

And you do realise dont you that the NBN was conceived by the Rudd government not the Gillard?

Visionary
07-10-2017, 02:59 PM
The Rudd-Gillard Gov is a complete blur, interchanging PM's and the speed at which they changed created a fog that was impenetrable. Whats more I don't care who is the guiltiest (Rudd Gillard), I just want someone to repay the Australian Taxpayer and accept responsibility.
The purpose of this post was to highlight the huge social cost of inept governance, and secondly that those guilty of making poor decisions should be held personally accountable.
It is crystal clear the only parties that have benefited from the NBN were those Pollies who maintained the "big seats" for a term. Why shouldn't those who benefited be held responsible, why shouldn't we as TaxPayers insist that they help recover some of the horrendous cost of the NBN?
The Social Cost of the NBN is appalling, what programs could have been started, what infrastructure projects could have been completed? I believe at $50 billion we could have had a VFT running North-South on the Eastern Seaboard.
50 Billion (or the NBN) is a "bad debt" generational in size.

PCH
07-10-2017, 03:52 PM
Hi David,

I'm pretty sure Gary has explained before that this is a user funded model rather than a tax-payer funded model. So there shouldn't be an enormous burden on the taxpayer as you might reasonably think.

The_bluester
07-10-2017, 03:59 PM
Apart of course from the fact that our current illustrious leader has borked it so badly that it will be very hard to sell as a cohesive unit (Because it is now anything but a cohesive unit) and he might well have broken the funding model well enough to have it end up as an on budget expense, as a cost to the taxpayer....

As to the rest regards a Rudd/Gillard/Rud fog. I think I remember the election of an Abbott coalition government in 2013 which does not appear to be what we have now, or did I miss something?

And I still ask the question. In the modern world where high grade communications across the community is an economic advantage (Or disadvantage, depending on which side of the digital divide you find your nation) what do you propose rather than the NBN or something substantively like it?

leon
07-10-2017, 04:37 PM
Hey guys get Telstra Wi/Fi and travel anywhere you like, agreed sometimes it is 3G but most times it is 4G, on occasion we are in the dark :sadeyes:

We have been doing it for years and you know what on a pre paid plan and 40 Gigs for 365 day plan we never run out.

And I type this to you now on that plan which i renewed 4 months ago, and still have 14G left

It nearly lasts me a year ;)

So what the hell are you guys doing :shrug:

Leon :thumbsup:

AstroStudentUSQ
07-10-2017, 04:40 PM
OK, I'll settle it, how about the 50 billion just go to me next time?
I'm happy to take one for the team. :rofl:

Visionary
07-10-2017, 04:53 PM
Paul, highlighting the systemic failure of the Australian political class, I have no doubt in my mind that somehow Turnbull will be held responsible for the sum total of all ills afflicting the NBN.
The Abbott/Turnbull was an ugly mess, but that particular mess but it didn't cost the Australian Taxpayer $50 billion +++
What I strenuously object to is the "get out of jail free" card that was handed to Gillard & Rudd. They caused enormous damage with the ill-considered Taxpayer fiasco that was/is the NBN, yet though they benefited financially (another term of office) they skipped passed the responsibility gate, yet we as Taxpayers cannot skip past the gate, we will all just pay and pay for the NBN.
What could I propose that's better? The market has a habit of sorting these issues out for itself. Rudd/Gillard need to have done nothing, not a single thing and the market would have sorted itself out. History shows us that the country would have been substantially better off if they had both taken a nice big Taxpayer funded holiday for the entirety of their fractured terms.
It is my belief, and I may well be a voice in the wilderness, all politicians should be held individually responsible for atrocious decisions, in much the same way Company Directors are responsible for decisions that act contrary to the interests of the Companies they govern.
It is not good enough that Gillard and Rudd have got off scot-free from a decision that was made at the last moment within the context of a failing electoral campaign so they could claw back a few months of having their behinds on the "big seats".
The NBN was not decided upon to benefit the country, it was nothing more than a thought bubble, an ill-considered, last minute decision to benefit a handful of sitting members.

LightningNZ
07-10-2017, 05:00 PM
It's hard to find a country that has worse internet than Australia. My kiwi friends make fun of my supposedly "fast" NBN connection, let alone those in Japan or Sweden (1 GB download and upload anyone?).

Though without it I'd have been boned this year as medical issues kept me home for a good chunk of it. ADSL here is such a bad joke, there's no way you can seriously do IT work from home.

As for Turnbull's (and it was Turnbull's) idea of fibre-to-the-node and copper-to-the-home, that should have been shot in the head the moment he said it. All the copper here is rotten - hence the terrible ADSL service that dies every time it rains.

So where did the money go? Is it purely down to the huge size of the country?

PCH
07-10-2017, 05:06 PM
We're using much more monthly than your annual allowance Leon. For those using 200gb a month, the cost doing it your way would be prohibitive to say the least.

The_bluester
07-10-2017, 06:08 PM
OK,

1. The sole biggest issue facing the NBN (And very much the hardest and most expensive to fix) is the dogs breakfast of technologies it is now being hashed together with in the name of being "Better, cheaper, faster"

So far it is proving to be worse, no cheaper (Only cheaper if you swallow the Abbot/Hockey line, when listening to Joe Hockey calculating what he reckoned the original version would cost was like listening to an auctioneer at a real flyer) and certainly no faster to deliver.

Who do you think is responsible for the direction for the direction to NBN Co to change to the current dogs breakfast? That is right, Malcolm Turnbull. So Yes, he will (And bloody well should) have the blame for what will be the biggest problems of the NBN laid at his feet.

2. I am going to ignore "50 billion cost to the Australian taxpayer" as it is very obvious that you have swallowed the Abbot/Hockey line that it is in fact a cost to the Australian taxpayer. I will point out that as per my last post, by cocking it up so badly, Abbot, Hockey and Turnbull may well make your assertion into a reality if they lead to it being so broken that it is unsaleable and also making too poor a return so as it has to go on budget as a cost rather than off budget as an investment.

3. I don't give a monkeys about what you think the political justification for the NBN was rather than a national benefit consideration. As someone who has been in the comms industry for nearly two decades I understand the value of comms. I refer you back to my twice stated question. Aside from connectivity that leaves us floundering in the dust of information economies around the world, what is your alternative to the NBN?

The_bluester
07-10-2017, 06:23 PM
Oh, and one last thing, taking "$50 Billion" as gospel and even taking "$50 Billion cost to taxpayers" and looking the other way at the sharp reduction in value caused by deliberately building a network which would be kindly viewed as comprising in large part of obsolescent if not actually obsolete technology, do you think that they have taken 50 billion to the pub and hosed it up against the wall? You know there is an asset at the end of the build right?

Otherwise you are accusing all mortgage holders of blowing hundreds of thousands of dollars and similarly ignoring the HOUSE they own at the end of the day. Same process, except a fixed asset like the NBN generates revenue to pay itself off and you have to sell the house to make a return on it.

Visionary
07-10-2017, 07:06 PM
Paul, I believe you may have mistaken my position for that of someone who has faith in either of our two parties, the ALP is a loathsome outgrowth of the Union movement. The LNP is headed by a Merchant Banker a loathsome outgrowth of the Marketplace. So, let's get the partisan politics out of the debate, both the LNP and ALP have sold our country short defending the ALP as you run contrary to a balanced debate.
The NBN was born out of crass political expedience, failure was crafted into its DNA. It did, however, assist in returning the ALP to power, hence the ALP derived a benefit, therefore, to the ALP belongs the rotten fruit of the NBN.
My alternate plan? Do nothing, yes nothing, the market had previously driven speeds forward. Left alone, the market would have driven speeds higher again.
If the ALP hadn't needed the NBN to retain office then the market would have been free to offer higher speeds for higher prices, obviously, if you didn't need higher speeds then you wouldn't pay the higher price.
Under the genius design strategy of the NBN plan, we pay a higher price for slower speeds and there is no alternative provider, the market has been crushed and from what I understand there is no other competitor allowed.
Why shouldn't we demand some recompense from the inflated pensions of Rudd and Gillard? We are worse off, Rudd and Gillard are better off, is that fair?

The_bluester
07-10-2017, 08:30 PM
I disagree with you.

The market drove speeds forward in a way that was limited by the technology on hand, real fixed line speeds had stagnated for most of a decade and the only fix for that would have been for Telstra to spend billions, only to have the ACCC step in and regulate the prices they could charge for access. NO commercial carrier would spend billions on a network only to have wholesale access to it by "Competitors" mandated at regulated prices. Prior to regulation, Telstra was the wholesale provider and largest retailer and gouged it's competitors higher wholesale prices for ADSL than it's own retail prices.

You can (And obviously adamantly do) consider the NBN to be an act of political expediency by Rudd. No other course of action would have broken the chokehold Telstra had on the market.

The creation of the NBN or some other variant of the same concept (A monopoly, wholesale only infrastructure owner) was needed to fix decades of broken federal communications policy where the almost entirely monopoly infrastructure owner (Telstra) was also the biggest retailer and had it's wholesale arm set prices to it's competitors that were higher than it's retail prices.

Fixed line network provision is a natural monopoly, communications or power or gas for that matter, what idiot would create a privatised communications industry where the near monopoly infrastructure provider was also the largest retail player? (Hint, it was the Howard government who failed to separate Telstra into a retail and network company and sell them off separately)

Do you really think "The market" would have fixed the squelchy manure mess that the telco space was? After two decades Telstra was still mopping up something like 70% of the revenue and over 90% of the profit of the entire segment. Unless a competitor spent somewhere up to millions to install a DSLAM to deliver ADSL2+ services in an exchange Telstra would not enable ADSL2+ in that exchange so the idea of people can pay more if they want more speed falls on its nose too. You could not buy ADSL2+ in an area unless there were enough consumers that a carrier other than Telstra reckoned they could make a profit and so installed a DSLAM. Only then would Telstra "Compete" with them by providing higher speeds that they could have provided at any time they chose to do so, but ADSL was good enough unless someone was in a position to take market share off them. If the "Competitor" retailed services bought wholesale from Telstra rather than building a DSLAM, even after the ACCC stepped in they had to pay all their fixed costs and provide tech support, manage billing and all the rest on a margin of about $5 a month, the rest of your $60 or so going straight to Telstra. I know, I used to work for one of the "Competitors" who stopped retailing Telstra wholesale DSL services as it is a hiding to nothing to sell something where you get the blame for all the problems and your biggest retail competitor makes more money out of your customer than you do.

As to the "Genius design strategy" of the NBN. Well, I am suffering congestion on a fixed wireless service and still getting speeds nearly an order of magnitude higher than I had before. And it is cheaper too. A very large portion of the people complaining of slow speeds and high prices are with a couple of the big telcos which will remain nameless. Suffice to say that they are notorious for high prices and poor speeds through skimping on backhaul and NBN bandwith. You can't blame the NBN for either of those except for a broken pricing model (Which the current government insist on keeping) that makes bandwidth relatively expensive. My provider seems to be able and willing to buy enough backhaul bandwidth and CVC to provide proper speeds and still make money. If people don't like the service they are getting from the big three or the price they are paying, why don't they churn? Isn't that what this competition thing is all about?

Visionary
07-10-2017, 08:59 PM
Paul, 50 billion and it's broken!

Tandum
07-10-2017, 09:03 PM
The NBN is not broken.

When Optus arrived here their plan was to recoup investment over 13 years.

NBN's plan is to recoup investment over 3 years.

Costs are high for carriers so they won't pay to cover bandwidth requirements so the consumer suffers.

Get yourself informed.

Visionary
07-10-2017, 10:41 PM
Mmmm.... so we have done well for our $50 billion?

Tandum
07-10-2017, 11:04 PM
It's a big country

Tandum
07-10-2017, 11:07 PM
What do you want to hear?
The original concept was optic fibre to everyone.
Liberals killed that.

You have what you get apparently.
My son won't rent a place unless it's on fibre.
He works from home a lot.

Tandum
07-10-2017, 11:15 PM
And you don't think the government will get that back.
I just said they have a 3 year time line.
Again. Get yourself informed if you want to troll these subjects.

h0ughy
07-10-2017, 11:22 PM
ok fellas first and last warning - keep it civil, and refer to the TOS (http://www.iceinspace.com.au/tos.html)

still contemplating the previous posts

Tandum
07-10-2017, 11:32 PM
ban the truth.

h0ughy
07-10-2017, 11:36 PM
no Robin, just the politics and other nasty's that come with feverish posting if we were really banning the truth we would be in china ;)

i am just trying to keep things civil mate that's all.

Tandum
07-10-2017, 11:40 PM
Honestly, people just don't understand whats happening and blame NBN. It's not NBN it's a political fight like power supply. Change your provider....

Can I add CERN is a 27Km long pipe not a country wide network.

AndrewJ
08-10-2017, 12:10 AM
Gotta say i think the fact the govt has split responsibility for different bits between different groups is std political policy to ensure no one can be held responsible, whilst all the hangers on can get juicy up front commissions.
Bit like the tunnel we never built down here. Funny how a union getting 30K in kickbacks results in a royal commission, but when "bankers" setting up loans for a tunnel can get 500 million for doing ( relatively ) nothing, it just gets swept under the carpet as "part of doing business"
Just listening to recent radio feedback on how people with problems with the NBN cannot get any help makes you wonder whats really going on.
We need to get a solid fibre backbone put in place first and then argue about who gets access to it, but Private industry will never do that if it means going outside the CBDs of the capital cities.
Its currently just another ABC learning or Pink Batts as far as i can see.

Andrew

doppler
08-10-2017, 12:29 AM
Changing my provider won't get my deteriorating copper replaced any sooner.

Visionary
08-10-2017, 12:01 PM
It is clear my question has been misinterpreted as a partisan political post. My question was simple, not political, shouldn't we be enraged at the cost of the NBN? Cern, the worlds grandest and most expensive science experiment, so expensive multi countries were required to fund the experiment was a 1/3 the cost of the NBN.
When we see the Political Class embroiling us in profligate spending we should demand answers. We shouldn't sit passively and allow the unacceptable to simply slip by. The authors of the travesty that is the NBN enjoyed their gains. Like Uni students doing a runner from a restaurant, we are left with the bill.
Iceinspace has the greatest concentration of highly educated individuals I have encountered, outside a University or similar setting. Surely it is the task, the obligation, of the Scientifically literate to proclaim the Emporer has no clothes. The NBN has no clothes, the NBN is profligate, it is wasteful, it has squandered our Children's inheritance, don't we have a right to be angry? Surely, it is the task of the literate to denounce the waste that is the NBN, irrespective of political leaning, the medical truism "never let the sun set on pus" is true of the NBN, the literate need to lance the boil.

The_bluester
08-10-2017, 12:28 PM
I wrote a whole post but have decided to delete and write simply this as my last post in this thread.

It is obvious that nothing I can write will sway your in the least, regardless of the fact I have spent half of my life in the industry in question and know full well that what you are basing your argument on has a couple of serious flaws (That competition in the sector would continue to drive speeds as and when people were prepared to pay for them for one, and for the other that money spent on the NBN was dead money down a hole, to be left for our children to pay pack, I urge you to research how NBN is actually being funded before you continue that line of argument)

Comparing CERN and NBN I say is folly, apart from anything else, NBN versus CERN is not an either/or situation.

Visionary
08-10-2017, 12:48 PM
I sincerely hope you are correct and I am 100% wrong.

The_bluester
08-10-2017, 01:19 PM
OK, one more post.

So do I.

clive milne
09-10-2017, 11:05 AM
http://e.lvme.me/5yq5e1t.jpg

JA
09-10-2017, 11:19 AM
Yes ...... SAME Bird & .......... SAME Master(s)

Best
JA

julianh72
09-10-2017, 12:37 PM
I'm pretty sure that even one CERN would not be a viable proposition without something like a working NBN to allow physicists access to the petabytes of data that it generates!

julianh72
09-10-2017, 12:40 PM
I'm using one helluva a lot more than that - my typical monthly data requirement at home is about 300 GB to 500 GB. (And no, we don't even own a 4k TV!) Mobile data is simply not a viable alternative to fixed broadband for me.