Here is the GFS time series meteogram for Sydney. At the moment, the model indicates heavier cloud coming in just as the eclipse begins. Give it another day or two, the system might slow down and you may yet see it.
Weather Prospects Melbourne
Here is the GFS time series meteogram for Melbourne. At the moment, the model indicates variable light cloud cover perhaps broken or transparent high level cloud before during and after the eclipse.
Tamworth is a little better than Port Mc. Newcastle is worse than Sydney in the current model run. But there are many many more GFS model runs due to be published before Wednesday each will become progressively more accurate.
At present Moree is looking good and NW of Goondiwindi excellent if you want to travel.
You can do your own time series predictions for your location on the NOAA Air Resources Laboratory web site. Note that the GFS model has limited spatial resolution±0.5 degrees.
Just plug in your Lat long and select the meteogram/ total cloud cover option.
Andrew Cools Skippy Sky site publishes the same info from the same model using a 2D map format. When displaying information, you have to make compromises. Andrew's web app is a very slick, user friendly, graphical representation of the GFS model predictions. However Andrew's site only gives 12hr time increments. This isn't a criticism, Andrew funds Skippy Sky out of his own pocket. The data downloads from the model publications cost him a bomb. He can't afford to increase the temporal resolution.
The ARL site is not user friendly, gives finer time increments but gives a plot of a selected meteorological parameter against time. I use a combination of both when evaluating weather (and whether ;-).
images below from left are for Newcastle, Port Macquarrie, Tamworth, Moree and a bit NW of Goondiwindi.
I will most probably have to watch it online from the USA, like last time. If the weather is bad here, it is also bad in Sydney, so the streaming from Sydney will be ruined too.
I didn't have much hope anyway. The weather is always bad here when there is an eclipse, and it is bad only at the time of the eclipse (perfectly fine before and after it).
Should the cloud gods have some mercy , it should be mostly visible from my balcony (not the penumbral phase I think, well, maybe from behind some branches), but the umbral and total eclipse should be visible alright, even in a good position. I would be happy if I could at least get a few glimpses of it!
I'll have DSLR, Tripod and tele lens ready but we're scheduled for gales here now. It just gets better ... NOT!
I got glimpses and a pic or two last time through high speed clouds so got to be ready to go.
I'll leave the Ob closed down and secured, I don't want the roof being found in the neighbours garden for a third time....
Starting to look worse and worse for BNE as well, although I still have a feeling it will remain somewhat clear.
Rain before will rule out the telescope, but at least i can set up the long lens still.
Fingers crossed!
Joe do you have a meteogram for Brisbane by any chance?
Sorry, I don't do them for foreign countries
Seriously, 24 hrs out, skippy sky has 3hr increments. It gives a clearer picture and uses the same base forecast data - the global forecasting system model.
Seems to be low cloud <2000 m east of and on the Great Divide right along the Eastern seaboard. Good news is that if you can get about 20km west of the cloud edge, you should see the partially eclipsed moon 15 degrees altitude above the cloud. Anywhere on the New England Highway from Warwick to Toowoomba is looking clear.
Seriously, 24 hrs out, skippy sky has 3hr increments. It gives a clearer picture and uses the same base forecast data - the global forecasting system model.
Seems to be low cloud <2000 m east of and on the Great Divide right along the Eastern seaboard. Good news is that if you can get about 20km west of the cloud edge, you should see the partially eclipsed moon 15 degrees altitude above the cloud. Anywhere on the New England Highway from Warwick to Toowoomba is looking clear.
good luck
Joe
Haha cheers Joe
its not looking good. but ill take breaks in the cloud. unfortunately getting away from home at that time of night really isnt an option for me . oh well if nature brings in the cloud, so be it. I will wait patiently till the next one, and work with today's as much as i can.
not looking at that forecast
, it should be mostly visible from my balcony (not the penumbral phase I think, well, maybe from behind some branches), but the umbral and total eclipse should be visible alright, even in a good position. I would be happy if I could at least get a few glimpses of it!
shouldn't be surprised I suppose.
