Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul Haese
My theory is that we are heading into another drought cycle here in SA. I have been watching the rain totals closely for the last 7 years and the satellite moisture readings. Rainfall has been going down for the last two years after the peak of the drought breaking rains. It looks similar to the events of 2007-2008. Seeing has been generally increasing from the last few years too overall with fewer periods of bad seeing occurring. When the moisture level drops in the atmosphere good seeing is generally better. Like I said, it is a theory at this stage but I am happy to get better seeing that I usually get (as good as that is generally).
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you could be right Paul - ENSO watch is currently projecting higher than normal odds of an el nino developing later this year. The local weather sure has been very dry, but the clouds have been a bit of a problem over here - when the winds are warm from the southeast, they pick up water over the gulf and produce local clouds right overhead.