You could well be right Rob, I pinched the image from LPOD:
http://lpod.wikispaces.com/June+9%2C+2009 and overlaid it with a bit of my own to prove a point. If the reported impact site has shifted then so be it.
I think it's going to be interesting to see the final results, the oblique angle of impact could mean that the crash site was somewhere else, but given the brightness of the IRIS2 flash (albeit at 1400nm), it is a surprise that no one saw it.
I've made my observations to both AAO and JAXA, so it's sit back and wait time ...